Wednesday, 12 November 2014

Ebola virus - 2014 epidemic

Epidemiology

Ebola haemorrhagic fever is a severe and fatal illness caused by Ebola virus. The recent outbreak which claimed 4,500 lives and left 9,000 sufferers, originated in Gueckedou, Guinea; before spreading to Liberia and Sierra Leone, and concentrating around remote villages in Central and West Africa and near tropical rainforests (WHO). Tulane University virus expert Dr. Daniel Bausch told the Voice of America that years of war and poverty make these countries vulnerable to an outbreak. First discovered in 1976 by Professor Peter Piot near the Ebola River what is now the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the virus in the recent outbreak could have come from the deadliest and most aggressive strain according to medical charity Medicins Sans Frontieres. Prof Peter is worried that the outbreak could last well into next year. WHO has warned there could soon be 10,000 new cases a week.

Fruit bats as local delicacy especially three different species of Hypsignathus monstrosus, Epomops franqueti, Myonycteris torquata are to blame, because of detected immunoglobulin G specific for Ebola virus in these species. They are not the only reservoirs for Ebola but also Marburg viruses.  During the dry seasons when fruit is scarce – conditions that foster contact between animals as they compete for food, an increase in infection amongst great apes such as gorillas and chimpanzees is triggered. Immune function in bats also changes during these periods, for examples as a result of food scarcity or pregnancy which would favour viral replication aided by aggressive primate interactions (1). 

Ebola virus

During the incubation period of 2 to 21 days, manifested symptoms are sudden onset of fever fatigue, muscle pain, headache and sore throat, followed by vomiting, diarrhoea, rash, symptoms of impaired kidney and liver function; and in some cases, both internal and external bleeding such as oozing from the gums or blood in the stools.
                         
                                 
         
Figure 1. Ebola fever symptoms (WHO) include those found in common cold such as headache and sore throat at early stages; and severe symptoms of vomiting, rash, diarrhoea, bleeding from eyes, nose and mouth, impaired liver and kidney only seen at advanced stages.

28-year-old Dr. Oliver Johnson and the brave British medic team who are working in Freetown as part of the King’s Health Partners scheme (partnership between Guy’s and St Thomas’, King’s College Hospital and South London and Maudsley Trusts as well as King’s College London), said that the locals believe the disease maybe a government conspiracy. They also describe the Ebola patients as looking healthy until their conditions deteriorate shortly before their deaths. It's not only dangerous in its own right, but also still present in the body after death; therefore, prompt and safe burials are now being urged.
                                   
Ebola shares the same encoded peptide motifs for viral particle assembly after host cell replication as deadly HIV-1 virus (2). Natural selection of secondary immune response is shuffled for survival of those with best fit antibodies. Supportive care such as rehydrating patients who have diarrhoea and vomiting can also help recovery. Even though it is widely assumed that a person cannot contract Ebola twice, it is not scientifically proven. However, it is known for certain that viral replication is error-prone hence the ease of its genetic mutation; so there is still risks of relapse to certain degree. Despite relapse warning, British nurse Will Pooley who recently recovered from Ebola has returned to work in Sierra Leone. 

Another question is that why being benign for years, fruit bats could suddenly cause an Ebola outbreak? Viral mutation could take years to perfect transmission despite being error-prone in replication between bats and humans. Perhaps primate Simian virus or HIV-1 allows cross-mutation between viruses, or it could simply be a government conspiracy. There is no definite answer. The urge now lies in vaccine. 

Vaccine

Treating patients with serum injected from survivors during the 1995 outbreak offer one solution. Further trials of prototypes will start soon and potential vaccines maybe available in 2016. The challenge rises when pharmaceutical companies are un-interested to invest on the vaccine which will only be used occasionally in small number of people. Indeed, UK pharmaceuticals firm GlaxoSmithKline and WHO had mutual decision on not to accelerate the development of the Ebola vaccine and decided to “watch very closely”, so Dr Ripley Ballou, head of GSK’s Ebola vaccine research, said full data on its safety and efficacy would not be ready until late 2015, which will be too late for the epidemic. Clinical trial of 10 years will have to be compressed into 12 months, there have already been volunteer, Nick Own, who was injected at the centre for Vaccinology and Tropical Medicine in Oxford and will have regular check-ups for the next six months. Well, by the time vaccines are available, the virus might have been mutated, and just how effective the vaccine is just depends on the speed of mutation and what kind of mutation(s) it is.

Other effort to eradicate the disease is worth praising. Some US laboratories such as Arizona State University (3) are already established in Ebola research and vaccine. Huge gifts also seen from American billionaires, listing: $50 mil from Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, $11.9 million from Microsoft Paul Allen’s foundation, $25 million from Facebook Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, WHO, and the US Fund for UNICEF. World Health Organization in Birmingham UK current research is on convalescent plasma therapy.

Canada is fast-tracked as the country has already shipped 800 vials of vaccines to WHO which is the result of decade of research at the Public Health Agency of Canada’s main laboratory in Winnipeg. The vaccine had shown ‘very promising results in animal research’. Despite no any Ebola cases in Canada, the Canadian government pledged a total of 65 million Canadian dollars through the Red Cross and other humanitarian agencies in the global fight against the spread of Ebola. And the Russian project is planning to do the same. The Canadian pharmaceutical company that also make experimental vaccines is Tekmira. Its Sarepta therapeutics an RNA-based therapeutics is combination of two phosphorodiamidate morpholino oligomers which target the viral matrix proteins VP24 and VP35.

How effective are current prevention?

In the UK, the only Ebola infection isolation unit is Royal Free Hospital, London. In addition, airport screening is not effective, especially Heathrow Airport in which screening is optional, so passengers from Africa could easily go through. The US treats air passengers returned from Africa with more precaution as they quarantine them all before firm diagnostics confirm negative result.

What shall we do? Preventions are better than treatments

For Africa, avoid eating raw bush meat or contact with hosts (infected bats, monkeys, apes).

For everyone, avoid contact with Ebola patients and their bodily fluids (WHO), do not attempt to touch anything such as shared towels, handshakes or kisses or sexual intercourses. Bleach and chlorine can kill Ebola. Men can still transmit the virus through semen for up to seven weeks after recovering from Ebola.


Source

BBC, WHO, Reuters, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
1.Eric M. Leroy, Brice Kumulungui, Xavier Pourrut et al. Fruit bats as reservoirs of Ebola virus. Nature Brief Communications (2005), vol 438
2. Juan Martin-Serrano et al. HIV-1 and Ebola virus encode small peptide motifs that recruit Tsg101 to sites of particle assembly to facilitate egress. Nature Medicine (2001) vol 7 (12).
3. Waranyoo Phoolcharoen et al. A non-replicating subunit vaccine protects mice against lethal Ebola virus challenge. PNAS (2011), vol 108 (51): 20695-20700